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Top News - AASA hears what's about to disrupt schools

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Christensen drew a parallel with today's schools: Public schools have spent an estimated $60 billion putting technology into classrooms, he said--but they've largely been doing the same thing RCA was doing: applying a new technology on top of an old business model. And that's a key reason today's schools have struggled to improve.

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Until now, the providers of online instruction have catered primarily to areas of "non-consumption" in education, Christensen said, such as credit recovery, AP courses, and home-schooled or homebound students.

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By 2013, he said, 10 percent of all "seat time" will be occupied by online instruction--and within 10 years, he predicted, more than half of all seat time will be online

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45,000 in 2000 to more than a million last year

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But that will change once online instruction reaches its tipping point--and if schools want to compete for these "customers" (their students), they should consider partnering with an online-learning provider or starting an online program of their own.

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